Rising tensions in the Middle East are triggering serious concerns over global fertilizer supplies and food security, according to a recent report published by Milling Middle East & Africa. The report warned that disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz are affecting the movement of fertilizer shipments and increasing pressure on agricultural supply chains worldwide.



Industry observers noted that tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has fallen sharply due to growing geopolitical uncertainty, creating delays and disruptions in Gulf fertilizer exports. The region plays a major role in the global supply of fertilizers, including urea and ammonia, making the disruption particularly significant for agriculture-dependent economies.



As supply constraints intensify, global urea prices have continued to rise, increasing production costs for farmers across several regions. Experts warn that prolonged fertilizer shortages could reduce crop productivity and lower yields through 2027, especially in countries heavily dependent on imported agricultural inputs.



The report also highlighted growing concerns over global food inflation, as higher fertilizer and energy costs may increase the prices of cereals, vegetables, and other food commodities. Analysts believe governments may need to strengthen food security measures, diversify fertilizer sourcing, and invest in resilient agricultural systems to reduce long-term vulnerability to geopolitical disruptions.